36 research outputs found
Collective enhancement and suppression in Bose-Einstein condensates
The coherent and collective nature of Bose-Einstein condensate can enhance or
suppress physical processes. Bosonic stimulation enhances scattering in already
occupied states which leads to atom amplification, and the suppression of
dissipation leads to superfluidity. In this paper, we review several
experiments where suppression and enhancement have been observed and discuss
the common roots of and differences between these phenomena.Comment: ICAP proceedings; 12 figure
Revisiting the Learnability of Apple Tasting
In online binary classification under \textit{apple tasting} feedback, the
learner only observes the true label if it predicts "1". First studied by
\cite{helmbold2000apple}, we revisit this classical partial-feedback setting
and study online learnability from a combinatorial perspective. We show that
the Littlestone dimension continues to prove a tight quantitative
characterization of apple tasting in the agnostic setting, closing an open
question posed by \cite{helmbold2000apple}. In addition, we give a new
combinatorial parameter, called the Effective width, that tightly quantifies
the minimax expected mistakes in the realizable setting. As a corollary, we use
the Effective width to establish a \textit{trichotomy} of the minimax expected
number of mistakes in the realizable setting. In particular, we show that in
the realizable setting, the expected number of mistakes for any learner under
apple tasting feedback can only be , or
.Comment: 18 page
Multiclass Online Learnability under Bandit Feedback
We study online multiclass classification under bandit feedback. We extend
the results of Daniely and Helbertal [2013] by showing that the finiteness of
the Bandit Littlestone dimension is necessary and sufficient for bandit online
multiclass learnability even when the label space is unbounded. Moreover, we
show that, unlike the full-information setting, sequential uniform convergence
is necessary but not sufficient for bandit online learnability. Our result
complements the recent work by Hanneke, Moran, Raman, Subedi, and Tewari [2023]
who show that the Littlestone dimension characterizes online multiclass
learnability in the full-information setting even when the label space is
unbounded.Comment: 11 page
What Explains Superior Retail Performance?
We analyze the performance of retail firms for the period 1978-97 using public financial data.
Our performance measures are long-term stock returns and whether the firm filed for bankruptcy
in the period of study. We assume that over a long time period of at least five years, stock returns
are a reasonable measure of the overall success of a firm.
We have found a very wide disparity in performance between firms. On the one hand,
retailers like Wal-Mart, the Gap and Circuit City have had phenomenal success (nineteen year
compounded stock returns of 31.2%, 29.5%, and 34.5%, respectively), while on the other, 17%
of the public retail firms filed for bankruptcy. We investigate how the following levers managed
by the CEO of a retail firm affect performance: return on assets, sales growth, inventory turns,
gross margin, financial leverage, and selling, general, and administrative expenses. The nature of
the analysis is contemporaneous, providing insights into managerial actions that correlate with
success as measured by stock returns, but not a prediction of future stock returns.
We find that (1) return on assets, sales growth, standard deviation of return on assets and
financial leverage explain more than 50% of the variation in stock returns for periods of ten years
or more; (2) retailers in different segmentsâ apparel, department stores, grocery and convenience
stores, drugs and pharmaceuticals, jewelry, consumer electronics, home furnishings, toys, and
variety storesâ achieve similar return on assets and return on equity by following very different
strategies with respect to their gross margins and inventory turns; (3) even within the same
segment, high gross margin correlates with low inventory turns, and with high selling, general,
and administrative expenses; (4) risk of bankruptcy is related to the mismatch between how fast
a firm attempts to grow versus what growth rate it realizes. We also test for a negative
correlation between sales growth and return on assets, which is widely believed to be true but is
not borne out by our data.Operations Management Working Papers Serie
Linking Finance and Operations in Retailing
Operations Management Working Papers Serie
Signaling to Partially Informed Investors in the Newsvendor Model
We analyze a signaling game between the manager of a firm and an investor in the firm. The manager has private information about the firm\u27s demand and cares about the short-term stock price assigned by the investor. Previous research has shown that under continuous decision choices and the Intuitive Criterion refinement, the least-cost separating equilibrium will result, in which a low-quality firm chooses its optimal capacity and a high-quality firm over-invests in order to signal its quality to investors. We build on this research by showing the existence of pooling outcomes in which low-quality firms over-invest and high-quality firms under-invest so as to provide identical signals to investors. The pooling equilibrium is practically appealing because it yields a Pareto improvement compared to the least-cost separating equilibrium. Distinguishing features of our analysis are that: (i) we allow the capacity decision to have either discrete or continuous support, and (ii) we allow beliefs to be refined based on either the Undefeated refinement or the Intuitive Criterion refinement. We find that the newsvendor model parameters impact the likelihood of a pooling outcome, and this impact changes in both sign and magnitude depending on which refinement is used
Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts
Measuring demand uncertainty is a key activity in supply chain planning. Of various methods of
estimating the standard deviation of demand, one that has been employed successfully in the
recent literature uses dispersion among expertsâ forecasts. However, there has been limited
empirical validation of this methodology. In this paper we provide a general methodology for
estimating the standard deviation of a random variable using dispersion among expertsâ forecasts.
We test this methodology using three datasets, demand data at item level, sales data at firm level
for retailers, and sales data at firm level for manufacturers. We show that the standard deviation
of a random variable (demand and sales for our datasets) is positively correlated with dispersion
among expertsâ forecasts. Further we use longitudinal datasets with sales forecasts made 3-9
months before earnings report date for retailers and manufacturers to show that the effects of
dispersion and scale on standard deviation of forecast error are consistent over time.Operations Management Working Papers Serie
What Explains Superior Retail Performance?
We analyze the performance of retail firms for the period 1978-97 using public financial data.
Our performance measures are long-term stock returns and whether the firm filed for bankruptcy
in the period of study. We assume that over a long time period of at least five years, stock returns
are a reasonable measure of the overall success of a firm.
We have found a very wide disparity in performance between firms. On the one hand,
retailers like Wal-Mart, the Gap and Circuit City have had phenomenal success (nineteen year
compounded stock returns of 31.2%, 29.5%, and 34.5%, respectively), while on the other, 17%
of the public retail firms filed for bankruptcy. We investigate how the following levers managed
by the CEO of a retail firm affect performance: return on assets, sales growth, inventory turns,
gross margin, financial leverage, and selling, general, and administrative expenses. The nature of
the analysis is contemporaneous, providing insights into managerial actions that correlate with
success as measured by stock returns, but not a prediction of future stock returns.
We find that (1) return on assets, sales growth, standard deviation of return on assets and
financial leverage explain more than 50% of the variation in stock returns for periods of ten years
or more; (2) retailers in different segmentsâ apparel, department stores, grocery and convenience
stores, drugs and pharmaceuticals, jewelry, consumer electronics, home furnishings, toys, and
variety storesâ achieve similar return on assets and return on equity by following very different
strategies with respect to their gross margins and inventory turns; (3) even within the same
segment, high gross margin correlates with low inventory turns, and with high selling, general,
and administrative expenses; (4) risk of bankruptcy is related to the mismatch between how fast
a firm attempts to grow versus what growth rate it realizes. We also test for a negative
correlation between sales growth and return on assets, which is widely believed to be true but is
not borne out by our data.Operations Management Working Papers Serie
Basic Atomic Physics
Contains reports on five research projects.National Science Foundation Grant PHY 96-024740National Science Foundation Grant PHY 92-21489U.S. Navy - Office of Naval Research Contract N00014-96-1-0484Joint Services Electronics Program Grant DAAHO4-95-1-0038National Science Foundation Grant PHY95-14795U.S. Army Research Office Contract DAAHO4-94-G-0170U.S. Army Research Office Contract DAAG55-97-1-0236U.S. Army Research Office Contract DAAH04-95-1-0533U.S. Navy - Office of Naval Research Contract N00014-96-1-0432National Science Foundation Contract PHY92-22768David and Lucile Packard Foundation Grant 96-5158National Science Foundation Grant PHY 95-01984U.S. Army Research OfficeU.S. Navy - Office of Naval Research Contract N00014-96-1-0485AASERT N00014-94-1-080